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GBT - Bull Thesis

BULL THESIS

  • GBT overall corporate and executive summary

    • Cash of $735M in Q4 ‘21, almost doubled in last quarter

      • A little over 2 years of cash on hand

    • Fairly cheap commercial company with EV ~10X trailing 12 month revenue

      • ~$2.2B Market cap and EV

      • $190M 2021 revenue

    • Possible acquisition target with $200M revenue with valuable pipeline assets

    • Oxbryta

      • Approved 1st in class sickle cell disease therapeutic

        • $190M ‘21 revenue

      • Impressive hemoglobin level increases shown in clinical trials

      • Additional benefits shown in post-hoc and real-world studies

        • RW studies published Feb ‘22

        • Leg ulcer resolution

        • Less transfusions, VOCs, hospital admissions, and iron chelation

    • Pipeline

      • Phase 3 SCD therapeutic anti-P selectin Ab candidate for VOCs

        • Same SCD market as Oxbryta

  • Oxbryta (Voxelotor) (sickle hemoglobin polymerization inhibitor)

    • Approved to treat SCD in Nov 2019

    • Expanded approval for patients 4 and up in December 2021

    • Approved in November 2019 and first full quarter of launch (Q1 2020) sales of $14.1M

    • Fourth quarter 2021 sales of $56.1M and full year 2021 of $194.6M

      • 57% increase year over year for full year sales

      • 36% increase year over year for quarterly sales

      • Oxbryta continues to have broad payer coverage for ages 12 years and older

        • More than 90% of covered lives having access

    • European Commission approval in February 2022

    • Phase 3 HOPE study announced positive results throughout 2018

      • Primary endpoint achieved in June 2018

      • Statistically significant increase in hemoglobin was seen

    • Post-hoc analysis of HOPE study showed improvement in leg ulcers

      • Recent real world experience trials show additional benefits

        • Less transfusions, VOCs, hospital admissions, and iron chelation

  • Inclacumab (p-selectin inhibitor)

    • Reduce freq of vaso-occlusive crises (VOCs) & hospital readmissions

      • Addresses major immediate health issue in SCD

      • Established mechanism of action for treating VOCs

    • Phase 3 trials in Sickle Cell Disease (THRIVE)

      • Two ongoing phase 3 trials provide upcoming catalysts

    • Phase 1 data presented at ASH 2021

      • Binds more natural binding site than competitive Novartis drug (crizanlizumab)

      • Potential for longer duration of exposure and near complete inhibition of platelet-leukocyte aggregation over 12 week period

      • Best-in-class potential as a quarterly-dosed P-selectin inhibitor

        • Are side effects better than crizanilizumab

          • Criz has >=10% nausea, back pain, and pyrexia

  • GBT21601 (sickle hemoglobin polymerization inhibitor)

    • GBT021601 Phase 2 to initiate by mid 2022 in SCD

      • Next gen hemoglobin polymerization inhibitor

      • Phase 1 results proved 601 has a favorable safety and tolerability profile while lowering the pill burden of patients

FS and MV 4/5/22



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